Pogon Szczecin vs Legia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
24.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pogon Szczecin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1971 |
TSP
1 - 1
POG
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1971 |
ZAG
1 - 0
POG
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1971 |
POG
1 - 2
WIS
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1971 |
RCH
5 - 0
POG
61%
20%
20%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1971 |
POG
1 - 0
STA
60%
21%
20%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1971 |
RAP
4 - 0
WAR
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1971 |
WAR
1 - 1
WIS
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1971 |
RCH
2 - 1
WAR
57%
24%
20%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1971 |
WAR
0 - 0
LUG
68%
17%
15%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1971 |
LUG
1 - 3
WAR
44%
23%
33%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |