Pogon Szczecin vs Jagiellonia Bialystok analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
27.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pogon Szczecin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2015 |
ZAW
2 - 1
POG
41%
27%
33%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
POG
3 - 0
GKS
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
POG
0 - 1
GDA
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
RCH
2 - 1
POG
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2015 |
POG
0 - 1
GOR
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Jagiellonia Bialystok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
JAG
2 - 2
WIS
43%
25%
32%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
POD
1 - 0
JAG
44%
27%
30%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
JAG
2 - 1
GOR
64%
22%
15%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
LPO
2 - 0
JAG
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
JAG
1 - 2
KOR
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |