Pogon Siedlce vs Lech Poznań II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
16.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pogon Siedlce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
RCH
1 - 1
POG
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
ODR
4 - 1
POG
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
POG
0 - 3
LOM
80%
14%
6%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
POG
1 - 2
CHR
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
POG
2 - 1
ZNI
44%
24%
32%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lech Poznań II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
NOW
2 - 2
LPO
28%
26%
46%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
PSR
0 - 0
LPO
31%
23%
46%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
LPO
0 - 1
HAP
17%
22%
61%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
TSP
3 - 0
LPO
67%
19%
14%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
LPO
0 - 1
SAN
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |