Pogon Siedlce vs GKS Tychy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
42.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
15º
18º
17º
9
8º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 70 |
1º
|
46.5% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 64 |
2º
|
21% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 62 |
3º
|
14.5% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 61 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 60 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 59 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 56 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 53 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 49 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 42 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 40 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 39 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
|
12º
|
9 | 37 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 37 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 36 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 29 |
16º
|
20% | |
|
|
17º
|
5 | 28 |
17º
|
28% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 21 |
18º
|
62% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
28.5% | 79.5% |
|
Relegation
|
71% | 19% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pogon Siedlce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
PLO
1 - 0
POG
68%
20%
13%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
POG
1 - 2
TER
21%
24%
55%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
POG
0 - 2
LPO
63%
21%
17%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
RCH
1 - 1
POG
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
ODR
4 - 1
POG
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
GKS Tychy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
GKS
0 - 0
ODR
44%
26%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
CHR
0 - 0
GKS
34%
27%
39%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
GÓR
3 - 1
GKS
58%
22%
20%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
GKS
1 - 1
WAR
35%
29%
36%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
KOT
0 - 0
GKS
35%
27%
38%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |