Nowe Skalmierzyce vs Olimpia Grudziadz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
55.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
6º
16º
8º
76
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
59 | 59 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
55 | 55 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 35 |
15º
|
83.5% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
83.5% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nowe Skalmierzyce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
PSR
2 - 4
NOW
24%
23%
53%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
NOW
3 - 1
CAR
77%
14%
9%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 3
NOW
50%
24%
27%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
NOW
0 - 4
ZAW
16%
20%
64%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | -2 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
PSZ
2 - 1
NOW
56%
22%
22%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpia Grudziadz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
OLI
5 - 1
JAR
86%
11%
4%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
VIN
0 - 5
OLI
8%
16%
76%
|
56 | 29 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
OLI
0 - 0
SOK
72%
17%
10%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
USK
0 - 4
OLI
4%
14%
82%
|
56 | 17 | 39 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
OLI
2 - 0
SKO
61%
21%
17%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |