Podravac vs NK Papuk Orahovica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
60.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
4º
10º
10º
32
2º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 67 |
1º
|
75.5% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
2º
|
75.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Podravac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
VIR
2 - 0
POD
62%
19%
19%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
POD
1 - 2
POD
17%
19%
64%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
NKP
3 - 0
POD
92%
6%
2%
|
15 | 45 | 30 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
NKK
2 - 1
POD
88%
8%
4%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
NDD
2 - 1
POD
86%
10%
4%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
NK Papuk Orahovica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
PAP
1 - 1
NDD
18%
19%
63%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
NKS
3 - 0
PAP
34%
22%
44%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
PAP
2 - 0
RMS
50%
22%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
NKV
4 - 0
PAP
46%
23%
31%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
PAP
0 - 2
OSI
4%
12%
84%
|
22 | 82 | 60 | 0 |