Podbeskidzie vs Rekord Bielsko Biała analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
29.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
8º
15º
10º
17
12º
17º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 79 |
1º
|
71.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 72 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 71 |
3º
|
42.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 59 |
4º
|
51.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 51 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 51 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 48 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 48 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 46 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
|
10º
|
23 | 44 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 41 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 41 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 40 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
17 | 38 |
14º
|
9.5% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 33 |
15º
|
16.5% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 33 |
16º
|
29% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 32 |
17º
|
25% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 23 |
18º
|
79% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
12.5% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
66.5% | 38.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
14.5% | 22% |
|
Relegation
|
6.5% | 37.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Podbeskidzie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 1
POD
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
POD
0 - 0
ZAL
20%
21%
60%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
POD
0 - 0
ZAG
57%
24%
20%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CHO
2 - 1
POD
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
POD
1 - 0
WIE
45%
25%
30%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Rekord Bielsko Biała
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
REK
1 - 1
PGM
35%
25%
41%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 4
REK
28%
25%
47%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
REK
0 - 1
HUT
40%
25%
35%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
KAL
2 - 2
REK
60%
22%
19%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
REK
2 - 4
LKS
54%
23%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |