Cup Semi-finals
Global 3-4
Podbeskidzie vs Lech Poznań analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
53%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Podbeskidzie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2011 |
LPO
1 - 1
POD
72%
18%
10%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
POD
2 - 2
WIS
20%
24%
56%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
WIS
0 - 1
POD
75%
17%
9%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2010 |
POD
2 - 0
BEL
76%
17%
8%
|
58 | 22 | 36 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
POD
2 - 0
PGL
42%
28%
30%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
LPO
1 - 0
WAR
52%
26%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2011 |
1 - 0
LPO
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2011 |
LPO
1 - 1
POD
72%
18%
10%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2011 |
LPO
2 - 2
SLA
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
LPO
2 - 0
JAG
56%
25%
19%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |