Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 2-4
Poblense vs UD Salamanca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
42.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poblense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
PBL
0 - 0
ATB
51%
30%
19%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1976 |
IBI
1 - 0
PBL
64%
23%
13%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1976 |
PBL
1 - 0
SAB
41%
31%
28%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
VIL
3 - 0
PBL
70%
20%
10%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
PBL
2 - 1
GIR
40%
31%
29%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
UD Salamanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
SEV
2 - 0
SLA
55%
26%
19%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1976 |
SLA
1 - 0
HER
53%
26%
21%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
FCB
4 - 1
SLA
81%
13%
6%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
SLA
3 - 0
ATH
43%
28%
29%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1976 |
SLA
3 - 1
PBL
79%
13%
8%
|
73 | 37 | 36 | 0 |