Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 4-3
Poblense vs Reus Deportiu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
30.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poblense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
MNC
0 - 0
PBL
51%
28%
21%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
PBL
2 - 1
MLL
47%
30%
24%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
REU
2 - 0
PBL
67%
19%
14%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
ALB
5 - 0
PBL
57%
28%
15%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
PBL
2 - 1
VAL
45%
31%
24%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Reus Deportiu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
REU
4 - 0
VAL
77%
15%
8%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
VIL
0 - 0
REU
54%
29%
18%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
REU
2 - 0
PBL
67%
19%
14%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
REU
2 - 3
BAD
72%
20%
9%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
EUR
0 - 3
REU
56%
26%
18%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +2 |