Poblense vs Mercadal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.4%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
3º
15º
3º
37
1º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 59 |
2º
|
61.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 53 |
5º
|
96.5% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 47 |
7º
|
76% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 46 |
8º
|
76% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
73% | |
|
|
11º
|
37 | 38 |
10º
|
56% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
76.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poblense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
CON
1 - 1
PBL
24%
24%
52%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
PBL
2 - 2
JOR
77%
14%
9%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
MNC
0 - 4
PBL
40%
24%
36%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
PBL
1 - 4
MLL
6%
18%
77%
|
35 | 80 | 45 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
PBL
5 - 0
CLL
76%
15%
9%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
MER
6 - 1
POR
42%
24%
34%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
IMA
1 - 0
MER
41%
25%
35%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
MER
1 - 1
CFP
34%
27%
39%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SJO
0 - 3
MER
35%
24%
41%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
MER
0 - 2
LLO
35%
24%
41%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |