Poblense vs Mercadal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
31.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poblense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
SDF
2 - 0
PBL
51%
26%
23%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2016 |
PBL
5 - 0
FER
71%
19%
10%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
CAM
2 - 2
PBL
30%
28%
42%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
MNU
0 - 0
PBL
38%
26%
36%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
PBL
0 - 0
SRF
58%
23%
18%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
SRF
2 - 0
MER
29%
25%
46%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
MER
1 - 1
PCE
57%
23%
20%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
MER
0 - 0
SDF
41%
26%
33%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
FER
0 - 1
MER
19%
23%
59%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 0
MER
20%
24%
57%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -1 |