Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 2-2
Poblense vs Elche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.8%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
49%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poblense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
PBL
2 - 1
VIL
60%
26%
14%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1979 |
ALZ
0 - 0
PBL
53%
29%
18%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1979 |
ELC
1 - 0
PBL
86%
10%
4%
|
39 | 72 | 33 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
PBL
1 - 0
ORI
58%
27%
15%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 1978 |
MAR
2 - 2
PBL
42%
28%
30%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
ELC
1 - 1
GDE
75%
17%
9%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1979 |
ALG
0 - 3
ELC
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1979 |
ELC
1 - 0
PBL
86%
10%
4%
|
72 | 39 | 33 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
ELC
1 - 0
MUR
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 1978 |
ELC
3 - 0
CAD
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |