Poblense vs UD Collerense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
8.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
74
2º
9º
3º
38
4º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
74 | 74 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
63 | 63 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 49 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
17 | 17 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poblense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
UDA
0 - 3
PBL
13%
20%
68%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
PBL
1 - 0
BNS
81%
13%
6%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
IMA
0 - 2
PBL
11%
18%
71%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
PBL
0 - 0
MER
79%
14%
8%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FLN
0 - 1
PBL
17%
21%
62%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
UD Collerense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
CLL
0 - 3
CON
50%
24%
26%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
CLL
0 - 0
IBI
16%
20%
64%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
UDA
2 - 2
CLL
25%
24%
51%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
CLL
1 - 1
BNS
61%
21%
18%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
IMA
1 - 5
CLL
23%
23%
54%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | +1 |