Poblense vs Campos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.6%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.6%
5.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
1º
8º
2º
6
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
7 | 73 |
1º
|
45% | |
|
|
3º
|
7 | 71 |
2º
|
29% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 66 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 56 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 55 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
1º
|
7 | 53 |
6º
|
7.5% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 53 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 45 |
8º
|
5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 45 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
|
7º
|
6 | 45 |
10º
|
5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 43 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 42 |
12º
|
6% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 38 |
13º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 37 |
14º
|
8% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 37 |
15º
|
13% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 34 |
16º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 34 |
17º
|
14% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 25 |
18º
|
47% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
29.5% | 1% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
59.5% | 15.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
11% | 64.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 19% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poblense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
FLN
1 - 2
PBL
18%
22%
60%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
ATB
2 - 1
PBL
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
PBL
0 - 5
MLL
11%
19%
70%
|
42 | 85 | 43 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
MLL
1 - 0
PBL
47%
24%
29%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
PBL
1 - 0
MLL
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Campos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CAM
3 - 2
CLL
51%
23%
27%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 1
CAM
51%
23%
26%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
CAM
1 - 0
CAR
34%
24%
42%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CAM
2 - 0
FRR
43%
23%
34%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
INT
1 - 2
CAM
80%
13%
8%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +1 |