Poblense vs Binissalem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.2%
4.7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
3º
15º
3º
37
6º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 59 |
2º
|
61.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 53 |
5º
|
96.5% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 47 |
7º
|
76% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 46 |
8º
|
76% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
73% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 38 |
10º
|
56% | |
|
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
76.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poblense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PBL
2 - 2
AND
32%
26%
42%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
PBL
0 - 1
MAR
28%
26%
45%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
POR
0 - 2
PBL
21%
23%
56%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
PBL
3 - 0
IMA
83%
12%
6%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CFP
2 - 0
PBL
28%
25%
48%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Binissalem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
BNS
2 - 0
POR
24%
24%
52%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
IMA
2 - 0
BNS
51%
24%
25%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BNS
0 - 0
CFP
16%
25%
59%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SJO
1 - 2
BNS
59%
22%
19%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
BNS
1 - 1
CAM
56%
24%
20%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |