Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 5-1
Poblense vs Atlètic De Ciutadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.7%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
6.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poblense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1971 |
PBL
1 - 0
TER
42%
27%
31%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1971 |
ADC
0 - 1
PBL
25%
24%
51%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
GIM
1 - 1
PBL
51%
25%
23%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1971 |
PBL
1 - 1
GIR
44%
28%
27%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
RAC
1 - 2
PBL
57%
24%
20%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Atlètic De Ciutadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1971 |
ADC
1 - 2
RAC
20%
25%
55%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1971 |
ADC
0 - 1
PBL
25%
24%
51%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
IBI
1 - 0
ADC
83%
12%
5%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1971 |
ADC
2 - 1
EUR
20%
27%
52%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | +3 |
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
FCB
4 - 0
ADC
86%
11%
3%
|
22 | 55 | 33 | 0 |