Poblense vs UE Alcudia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
10.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
2º
8º
2º
1
11º
18º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
6 | 75 |
1º
|
43% | |
|
|
3º
|
6 | 72 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 70 |
3º
|
24.5% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 56 |
4º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 55 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 55 |
6º
|
7% | |
|
1º
|
6 | 53 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 49 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 47 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 46 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
1 | 44 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 39 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 35 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 34 |
14º
|
7.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 34 |
15º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 34 |
16º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 33 |
17º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 24 |
18º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
23.5% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
67% | 11% |
|
Mid-table
|
9.5% | 70% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 18.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poblense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
PBL
4 - 0
CAM
83%
12%
6%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
FLN
1 - 2
PBL
18%
22%
60%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
ATB
2 - 1
PBL
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
PBL
0 - 5
MLL
11%
19%
70%
|
42 | 85 | 43 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
MLL
1 - 0
PBL
47%
24%
29%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
UE Alcudia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
MER
0 - 0
ALC
36%
23%
41%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ALC
0 - 3
PIN
19%
24%
57%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ALC
5 - 1
CLL
64%
20%
16%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
UDA
2 - 2
ALC
13%
18%
69%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
ALC
0 - 0
BNS
68%
19%
13%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |