Plymouth Argyle vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
28.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
REA
1 - 2
PLY
50%
26%
23%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
PLY
0 - 0
LEI
33%
27%
40%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
BUR
2 - 0
PLY
52%
25%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
PLY
1 - 1
COV
46%
25%
30%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
STO
2 - 0
PLY
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
WAT
1 - 2
PNE
36%
26%
38%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
WAT
1 - 2
WHU
32%
27%
41%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
STO
0 - 1
WAT
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
WAT
0 - 0
SHE
35%
27%
38%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
ROT
0 - 1
WAT
32%
26%
42%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |