Plymouth Argyle vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
38.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2010 |
PLY
3 - 1
BRO
47%
26%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
OLD
4 - 2
PLY
42%
29%
30%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
PLY
2 - 1
HUR
31%
26%
43%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
NOT
2 - 0
PLY
59%
24%
17%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
PLY
2 - 2
CHA
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2010 |
SWI
0 - 3
CHA
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
YEO
3 - 3
SWI
24%
26%
50%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
SWI
2 - 2
LEY
68%
20%
12%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
POS
5 - 4
SWI
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2010 |
SWI
2 - 1
BRO
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |