Plymouth Argyle vs Southend United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 0
PLY
37%
29%
34%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
PLY
3 - 2
BRO
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
FLE
1 - 1
PLY
36%
28%
36%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
PLY
1 - 0
BRA
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
OXF
0 - 1
PLY
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Southend United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
SOU
2 - 0
ROT
32%
26%
41%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
BPO
1 - 1
SOU
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
ROC
0 - 0
SOU
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
SOU
0 - 0
DON
36%
26%
38%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
SOU
0 - 3
WAL
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -2 |