Plymouth Argyle vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
62.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
EXE
1 - 0
PLY
60%
23%
18%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
PLY
1 - 0
MKD
27%
26%
48%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
DAG
0 - 1
PLY
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
POS
2 - 1
PLY
82%
12%
6%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
PLY
2 - 0
WAL
44%
27%
29%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
BRE
0 - 3
SOU
19%
25%
56%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
SOU
2 - 0
HAR
75%
17%
8%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
BHA
1 - 2
SOU
45%
25%
30%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
SOU
1 - 0
BRO
76%
16%
8%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2011 |
ROC
2 - 0
SOU
25%
25%
49%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -1 |