League Two Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Plymouth Argyle vs Portsmouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
34%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2016 |
OPA
2 - 2
PLY
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
PLY
5 - 0
HAR
60%
23%
17%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
CAM
2 - 2
PLY
46%
27%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
PLY
2 - 3
DAG
67%
20%
14%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
LEY
1 - 3
PLY
43%
27%
31%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2016 |
OPA
2 - 2
PLY
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
OPA
1 - 2
NOR
35%
27%
38%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
HAR
0 - 2
OPA
28%
27%
45%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2016 |
AFC
0 - 1
OPA
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
OPA
2 - 1
WYC
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |