EFL Cup 1/64
Global 3-7
Plymouth Argyle vs Oxford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
42.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1997 |
WIG
1 - 1
PLY
65%
21%
15%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1997 |
PLY
2 - 2
GRI
34%
27%
39%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 1997 |
OXF
2 - 0
PLY
71%
18%
12%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 1997 |
BRO
1 - 1
PLY
53%
25%
23%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1997 |
PLY
0 - 0
BOU
45%
28%
27%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1997 |
OXF
0 - 1
NTT
26%
26%
48%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1997 |
CHA
3 - 2
OXF
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 1997 |
OXF
2 - 0
PLY
71%
18%
12%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1997 |
OXF
2 - 0
HUR
58%
23%
20%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1997 |
OXF
5 - 1
BAR
37%
26%
37%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |