Plymouth Argyle vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
35.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
SOU
0 - 1
PLY
72%
19%
9%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
NAC
0 - 0
PLY
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
PLY
1 - 2
POS
47%
26%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
NTT
3 - 0
PLY
68%
21%
11%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2010 |
PLY
0 - 2
NEW
18%
25%
56%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
NOT
0 - 3
HUR
50%
26%
25%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2010 |
NOT
0 - 0
STO
30%
27%
43%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
GUL
0 - 0
NOT
33%
27%
40%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
NOT
5 - 0
CHE
72%
19%
10%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2010 |
DAR
0 - 5
NOT
14%
25%
61%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | +1 |