Plymouth Argyle vs Northampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
36.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2011 |
STO
2 - 0
PLY
53%
22%
25%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
GUL
3 - 1
PLY
68%
20%
12%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
PLY
3 - 3
STO
49%
24%
28%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
PLY
1 - 1
MOR
27%
26%
48%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
CHE
2 - 1
PLY
62%
22%
16%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
NOR
2 - 7
STF
24%
26%
49%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
LUT
1 - 0
NOR
67%
19%
15%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
GIL
4 - 3
NOR
50%
26%
24%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
NOR
1 - 1
ROT
41%
25%
34%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
NOR
1 - 3
HER
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |