Plymouth Argyle vs Newport County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
15.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
BPO
0 - 1
PLY
38%
28%
35%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
PLY
2 - 0
MAN
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
NOT
1 - 2
PLY
31%
27%
43%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
CUM
1 - 0
PLY
55%
24%
22%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
REA
2 - 0
PLY
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
HAR
2 - 2
NEW
51%
25%
24%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
NEW
1 - 1
CRE
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
LUT
2 - 1
NEW
70%
19%
12%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
LEY
0 - 1
NEW
65%
21%
14%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
NEW
2 - 3
MKD
20%
23%
57%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |