Plymouth Argyle vs Millwall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
49.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
STF
1 - 1
PLY
56%
25%
19%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
PLY
1 - 4
LEY
30%
27%
43%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2011 |
PLY
1 - 3
SOU
15%
23%
63%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
EXE
1 - 0
PLY
60%
23%
18%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
PLY
1 - 0
MKD
27%
26%
48%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
REA
2 - 2
MIL
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 0
MIL
35%
29%
37%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
MIL
0 - 2
SWA
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
SCU
1 - 2
MIL
32%
28%
40%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
MIL
4 - 0
PNE
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |