Plymouth Argyle vs Grimsby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
BRA
2 - 1
PLY
29%
28%
44%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
PLY
0 - 0
CAM
71%
19%
11%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2020 |
MAC
1 - 1
PLY
23%
27%
50%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
PLY
2 - 1
CRE
46%
25%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2020 |
SAL
2 - 3
PLY
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
GRI
0 - 3
NOR
24%
26%
50%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2020 |
GRI
4 - 2
NEW
29%
28%
43%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
SWI
3 - 1
GRI
58%
23%
19%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
GRI
2 - 1
MOR
45%
27%
28%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2020 |
COL
2 - 3
GRI
64%
22%
14%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +1 |