Plymouth Argyle vs Exeter City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
28.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
CAM
0 - 1
PLY
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2017 |
YEO
2 - 1
PLY
33%
29%
38%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
CHE
1 - 2
PLY
33%
28%
39%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
PLY
0 - 1
LIV
14%
21%
65%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
PLY
4 - 2
STE
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
EXE
4 - 0
CRE
68%
19%
12%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2017 |
EXE
4 - 2
WYC
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
OPA
0 - 1
EXE
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
EXE
3 - 0
COL
45%
25%
29%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
GRI
0 - 3
EXE
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |