Plymouth Argyle vs Exeter City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
YOR
1 - 2
PLY
24%
28%
47%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2015 |
PLY
3 - 5
MIL
37%
26%
37%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
PLY
0 - 2
CUM
54%
24%
21%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
PLY
2 - 0
MOR
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
LUT
1 - 2
PLY
47%
27%
27%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
EXE
2 - 2
CRA
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
DID
0 - 3
EXE
18%
22%
61%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 0
EXE
47%
24%
29%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
EXE
1 - 1
NOT
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
EXE
1 - 0
CAM
53%
25%
22%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |