Plymouth Argyle vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
35%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
PLY
0 - 2
SUN
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
WOL
2 - 2
PLY
53%
26%
21%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2007 |
WBA
2 - 1
PLY
66%
21%
13%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
BAR
0 - 2
PLY
33%
26%
42%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2007 |
PLY
3 - 2
COV
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
DER
2 - 2
HUL
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
SOU
0 - 1
DER
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2007 |
DER
1 - 0
BUR
62%
24%
15%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
DER
1 - 0
BRO
74%
17%
9%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
SOU
0 - 1
DER
38%
27%
35%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |