Plymouth Argyle vs Colchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
WIG
0 - 1
PLY
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
PLY
3 - 0
BRE
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2003 |
PLY
1 - 3
CRE
38%
26%
36%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
BPO
1 - 1
PLY
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
CHE
3 - 2
PLY
29%
28%
44%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
COL
1 - 0
SWI
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
BAR
1 - 1
COL
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2003 |
CHE
0 - 4
COL
39%
26%
34%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
COL
2 - 0
HUR
53%
26%
21%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2003 |
BRE
1 - 1
COL
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |