Plymouth Argyle vs Cheltenham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
11.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SHW
4 - 0
PLY
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
MKD
0 - 1
PLY
27%
23%
50%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
BRO
2 - 1
PLY
22%
23%
55%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
GUL
0 - 2
PLY
10%
17%
73%
|
72 | 43 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
CHE
1 - 5
PLY
18%
21%
60%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CHE
3 - 2
NEW
46%
26%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
CHE
2 - 0
NOR
28%
23%
50%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
CHE
0 - 3
BRI
15%
21%
64%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
HUN
3 - 0
CHE
15%
20%
66%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
CHE
1 - 5
PLY
18%
21%
60%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |