Plymouth Argyle vs Cheltenham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
35.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
ROC
3 - 0
PLY
65%
21%
15%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2014 |
PLY
2 - 3
POR
29%
26%
45%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
PLY
1 - 1
SOU
29%
28%
43%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
POR
2 - 2
PLY
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2014 |
PLY
2 - 0
GUL
54%
26%
20%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
CHE
1 - 2
STA
60%
23%
18%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
BUR
2 - 1
CHE
53%
24%
22%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
CHE
1 - 2
MAN
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
CHE
1 - 0
EXE
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
FLE
0 - 2
CHE
58%
23%
20%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |