Plymouth Argyle vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
25.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
PLY
0 - 0
LEI
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2007 |
PLY
2 - 0
DON
56%
23%
20%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
BAR
3 - 2
PLY
35%
28%
37%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
PLY
1 - 1
IPS
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2007 |
PLY
2 - 1
WYC
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
NOR
1 - 2
CAR
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2007 |
CAR
1 - 0
LEY
50%
25%
26%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
CAR
0 - 1
COV
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
QPR
0 - 2
CAR
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2007 |
CAR
1 - 0
BHA
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |