Plymouth Argyle vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
30.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1950 |
BAR
4 - 1
PLY
65%
19%
16%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1950 |
PLY
0 - 0
SOU
40%
26%
34%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1950 |
LEE
1 - 1
PLY
65%
19%
16%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1950 |
PLY
2 - 1
LEI
47%
25%
28%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1950 |
PLY
0 - 0
LUT
51%
24%
25%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1950 |
LEE
4 - 1
BCF
57%
21%
22%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1950 |
BCF
0 - 0
QPR
70%
17%
13%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1950 |
GRI
4 - 2
BCF
62%
19%
19%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1950 |
SHW
1 - 0
BCF
59%
20%
21%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1950 |
BCF
1 - 1
SWA
67%
18%
15%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |