EFL Cup 1/64
Global 0-1
Plymouth Argyle vs Brentford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
23.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1996 |
PLY
2 - 1
PNE
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1996 |
WAT
0 - 2
PLY
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1996 |
BRE
1 - 0
PLY
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 1996 |
PLY
2 - 1
YOR
54%
24%
23%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1996 |
PLY
3 - 0
HAR
67%
20%
14%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1996 |
STF
0 - 3
BRE
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1996 |
BRE
2 - 0
GIL
54%
27%
19%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1996 |
BRE
1 - 0
PLY
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1996 |
BCF
1 - 1
BRE
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1996 |
BRE
2 - 0
BOU
56%
25%
20%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |