Plymouth Argyle vs Aldershot Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
31.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
PLY
1 - 2
AFC
57%
23%
20%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
WYC
1 - 1
PLY
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
PLY
1 - 1
SOU
33%
27%
40%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
MOR
2 - 3
PLY
52%
25%
23%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
PLY
1 - 1
BRO
55%
24%
22%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
ALD
0 - 1
CHE
36%
27%
37%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
GUL
4 - 3
ALD
51%
26%
23%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
ALD
0 - 2
YOR
28%
28%
43%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
STA
1 - 0
ALD
43%
25%
31%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
ALD
1 - 0
BAR
59%
24%
18%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |