Plymouth Argyle vs Aldershot Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
35.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
PLY
3 - 0
OPA
22%
25%
53%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
PLY
0 - 5
BIR
12%
20%
68%
|
51 | 79 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
PLY
1 - 2
CHE
34%
26%
40%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
MOR
2 - 2
PLY
49%
26%
25%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
PLY
1 - 1
OXF
37%
28%
35%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
WOL
1 - 1
ALD
82%
13%
6%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
WOK
2 - 1
ALD
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
CRE
2 - 2
ALD
56%
24%
21%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
ALD
2 - 2
ROT
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
BUR
0 - 4
ALD
31%
27%
42%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |