Plymouth Argyle vs Accrington Stanley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
PLY
2 - 1
MOR
39%
27%
34%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
POR
4 - 0
PLY
66%
21%
14%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
BRO
2 - 1
PLY
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
PLY
0 - 1
WYC
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
PLY
1 - 1
GUL
39%
27%
35%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
ALD
2 - 0
STA
56%
25%
20%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
STA
0 - 2
DAG
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
STA
1 - 0
CHE
34%
26%
41%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
ROT
4 - 1
STA
68%
20%
13%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
BRA
2 - 1
STA
65%
22%
14%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |