Plus Ultra vs Minerva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
53%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-70%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
9º
18º
18º
19
11º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 70 |
1º
|
58% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 65 |
2º
|
28.5% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 64 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 63 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 59 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 57 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 55 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 55 |
8º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 53 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 49 |
10º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 49 |
11º
|
25% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 43 |
12º
|
35% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 39 |
13º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
19 | 34 |
14º
|
44.5% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 30 |
15º
|
47% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 23 |
16º
|
44.5% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 21 |
17º
|
47% | |
|
|
18º
|
5 | 13 |
18º
|
86.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 93% |
|
Relegation
|
99.5% | 7% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
MUL
2 - 1
PLU
62%
20%
18%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
PLU
0 - 1
EGP
16%
21%
64%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
MSM
6 - 1
PLU
83%
11%
5%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
PUL
4 - 1
PLU
72%
18%
10%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
PLU
0 - 4
AFC
23%
22%
55%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Minerva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
MIN
0 - 0
PUL
23%
26%
52%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
AFC
0 - 1
MIN
64%
19%
17%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
MIN
2 - 2
LOR
16%
21%
63%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 0
MIN
68%
18%
14%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
MIN
1 - 2
UCA
23%
25%
53%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |