Plus Ultra vs Minerva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
56.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
MIN
2 - 0
PLU
66%
20%
15%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
PLU
1 - 1
CAR
16%
21%
63%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
IMP
4 - 0
PLU
76%
15%
9%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
PLU
0 - 2
CHU
20%
23%
57%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
EGP
4 - 0
PLU
57%
22%
21%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Minerva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
LOR
1 - 0
MIN
88%
9%
3%
|
23 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
MIN
0 - 2
UDL
66%
20%
15%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
CFC
3 - 3
MIN
23%
24%
53%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
MIN
3 - 0
CAP
70%
18%
12%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
MIN
0 - 0
MIN
49%
24%
27%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |