Plus Ultra vs Club Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
15.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
LOR
3 - 0
PLU
77%
15%
8%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
JUM
0 - 0
PLU
53%
24%
24%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
PLU
4 - 1
MIN
51%
24%
26%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
CDB
0 - 3
PLU
19%
23%
58%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
PLU
3 - 2
MSM
36%
26%
38%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Club Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 4
JUM
22%
25%
53%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
MIN
2 - 1
FOR
51%
23%
26%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 2
YEC
16%
22%
63%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 1
FOR
65%
20%
15%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 6
CIE
15%
22%
63%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | -2 |