Plus Ultra vs Cieza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
44.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 0
PLU
66%
19%
15%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
PLU
0 - 0
MSM
44%
25%
31%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
MUL
0 - 0
PLU
64%
20%
16%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
PLU
1 - 3
ABA
33%
25%
43%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
CHU
2 - 3
PLU
55%
24%
21%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
CIE
5 - 2
YEC
63%
21%
16%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
CDB
1 - 1
CIE
40%
25%
35%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
CIE
3 - 2
VIL
36%
25%
39%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
MSM
0 - 2
CIE
44%
25%
32%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
CIE
0 - 2
MUL
38%
25%
37%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |