Wisła Płock vs Warta Poznan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
9.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wisła Płock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
GDA
1 - 0
PLO
36%
26%
38%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
PLO
3 - 1
MOT
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
GDA
5 - 1
PLO
33%
25%
42%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
ODR
3 - 1
PLO
16%
23%
61%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
PLO
1 - 1
POL
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Warta Poznan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
WAR
0 - 1
PGL
30%
30%
40%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
TUR
0 - 0
WAR
41%
26%
34%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
WAR
0 - 0
ARK
18%
27%
54%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
STA
2 - 0
WAR
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
SLA
1 - 1
WAR
65%
21%
14%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |