Wisła Płock vs Polonia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
25.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wisła Płock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
PLO
2 - 3
MGJ
72%
18%
10%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2007 |
PGL
1 - 1
PLO
33%
25%
41%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
PLO
1 - 1
TUR
76%
17%
7%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2007 |
LOM
2 - 5
PLO
15%
23%
62%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
ARK
4 - 1
PLO
43%
27%
31%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Polonia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2007 |
POL
3 - 1
KOR
31%
25%
44%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2007 |
PGL
1 - 0
POL
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2007 |
ARK
2 - 0
POL
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2007 |
POL
3 - 1
TUR
77%
15%
7%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
POL
2 - 1
STA
73%
18%
9%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |