Wisła Płock vs Polonia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wisła Płock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2005 |
KUJ
1 - 1
PLO
24%
25%
52%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
PLO
0 - 0
POG
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2005 |
PLO
1 - 0
KUJ
73%
18%
10%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
PLO
0 - 0
OWD
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2005 |
POD
0 - 0
PLO
21%
24%
56%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Polonia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2005 |
POL
0 - 3
OWD
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2005 |
POL
2 - 1
LPO
34%
27%
39%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2005 |
POL
2 - 3
JAG
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
POL
0 - 0
ARK
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
POG
2 - 0
POL
57%
23%
21%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |