Conmebol Sudamericana 1/32
Global 3-1
Plaza Colonia vs Zamora FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
40.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plaza Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
PRO
2 - 2
PLA
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
LFC
1 - 0
PLA
61%
22%
18%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
ZAM
1 - 0
PLA
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
GUA
0 - 0
PLA
50%
23%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2020 |
AME
1 - 2
PLA
48%
25%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Zamora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
TAC
0 - 2
ZAM
53%
25%
23%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ZAM
1 - 0
ARA
65%
22%
13%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
ZAM
1 - 0
PLA
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
APC
0 - 0
ZAM
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2020 |
ZAM
2 - 0
TRU
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |