Plaza Colonia vs Sud América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
42%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plaza Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
PLA
1 - 2
ATE
26%
26%
48%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
TAC
1 - 1
PLA
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 1
PLA
62%
23%
15%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
PLA
1 - 3
CSM
33%
26%
41%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
PRO
4 - 2
PLA
73%
18%
9%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
SUD
1 - 2
CEN
31%
28%
42%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
SUD
1 - 0
ROC
48%
26%
27%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
SUD
1 - 0
VIL
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
SUD
0 - 0
JUV
49%
27%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
CSM
2 - 0
SUD
42%
27%
32%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |